You are not logged in. Please register or login.
- Topics: Active | Unanswered
#211 Re: The Garden » Current Events Thread » 243 weeks ago
I gotta take a break now, sheesh. Pace myself.
#212 Re: The Garden » Current Events Thread » 243 weeks ago
Here's one of the counties I talked about watching. Pinellas County, where I used to live. Trump needs this one, but with the I vote, it doesn't look like it's happening yet. But the GOP tends to vote early and late. It's gonna be as close as (INSERT ONE OF JAMES' METAPHORS HERE) https://twitter.com/data270/status/1323738376860803074?s=20
#213 Re: The Garden » Current Events Thread » 243 weeks ago
From "Freeper" bort on Sarasota
— . (@LarrySchweikart) November 3, 2020
Rs: 7.1K (60%)
Ds: 1.7K (15%)
All votes (early + election day): 44%(R) vs. 34%(D)
So much for Biteme winning seniorsI can't believe this guy actually referred to Biden as "biteme". For a second I thought there was a local politician with that name ( BIT E MEE) then I realized it was a 3rd grade insult.
Sarasota is indeed a pretty heavy R county, but what that total leaves out is the independent vote. That's going to Biden pretty convincingly. Plus, more Rs are voting D than vice versa.
I'm focusing on Florida, because they count fast and we'll know early. So far, the numbers can't be encouraging for Trump.
Make no doubt, it's gonna be close. I mean, it's Florida.
#214 Re: The Garden » Current Events Thread » 243 weeks ago
e.g. in Broward County (the rare FL county where Democrats are winning the Election Day vote)
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) November 3, 2020
From 7am to 1030am, the vote was D38/R34/I28 (D +4)
From 1030 to 1230pm, it was D39/R31/I31 (D +8)
From 1230 to 3pm, it was D37/R26/I37 (D +11)
From 3pm to 4pm, Broward was D41/R26/I33 (D +15). So this gap keeps growing.
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) November 3, 2020
#215 Re: The Garden » Current Events Thread » 243 weeks ago
hahah, the authors byline on that last one
#216 Re: The Garden » Current Events Thread » 243 weeks ago
This should send turnout through the roof.
The United States of America.
— Dakota Smith (@weatherdak) November 3, 2020
November 3rd, 2020. pic.twitter.com/kPLkYkyCrq
#217 Re: The Garden » Current Events Thread » 243 weeks ago
One of the fastest growing in the country, and it's population is like 130K. It's a whole collection of communities.
#218 Re: The Garden » Current Events Thread » 243 weeks ago
Yeah, IN#5 is a good one. Pinellas County in Florida is another good one. Milwaukee County, of course. Maricopa County in Arizona. Detroit, whatever county that is. Fulton County, Georgia.
The data I shared above is for the famous county with The Villages retirement community. They usually have golf cart parades of Trump voters going to the polls. This year, there was a huge Biden golf cart parade too, which started setting off alarm bells. If a significant % of seniors switch to supporting Biden in Florida, it's over. There are more of them than the Latino men voting for Trump in Miami-Dade.
Conventional wisdom, as the above post suggests, was Trump needs to win Sumter County by a 2:1 margin at the least to repeat 2016. So 66-33 does that, but 33% is more than Clinton got, so realistically Trump needs about 69-70% of this county.
#219 Re: The Sunset Strip » Disney+ » 243 weeks ago
I'm going to binge watch it later in the week.
They are only releasing Season 2 episodes 1 per week.
#220 Re: The Garden » Current Events Thread » 243 weeks ago
A lot of this data is going to get dumped right at 7 p.m. EDT. It could be the whole election from one county.
Sumter Co. FL (The Villages) presidential results in 2016 (Trump carried FL by 1.2%):
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 3, 2020
Trump 68.3%
Clinton 29.3%
Sumter Co. FL (The Villages) Senate results in 2018 (Scott carried FL by 0.1%):
Scott: 70.9%
Nelson: 29.1%
So, Biden breaking 33% in Sumter would be a huge coup.
