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#251 Re: The Garden » Current Events Thread » 244 weeks ago
Hasn’t this been going on since middle of last year? At any rate, I have no problem with it. I want to know.
#252 Re: The Garden » Current Events Thread » 244 weeks ago
If Minnesota is showing few signs of flipping, why is Biden wasting precious time and resources here?
It hasn't went red in decades. Hell....it's the only state that prevented Reagan from winning all 50 states in 84.
I can think of at least 10 states that warrant a Biden visit before Minnesota.
This is Hillary all over again...
Trump targeted this as a state he wanted to flip. He’s put a lot of resources into making that happen. It’s probably closer than it should be, so maybe that’s why. Maybe their internals show something. Maybe he’s going to help out a senate candidate. I haven’t read anything about his visit, so I can’t say. He also visited Georgia, and that was pretty clearly to help out the Senate candidates. He doesn’t need to win there.
#253 Re: The Garden » Current Events Thread » 244 weeks ago
UPS?
Should have FedEx’d them.
#254 Re: The Garden » Current Events Thread » 244 weeks ago
Fox News literally won a defamation lawsuit because they argued "no reasonable viewer" takes Tucker Carlson seriously.
#255 Re: The Garden » Current Events Thread » 244 weeks ago
Another bombshell turns into a dud.
https://twitter.com/nikkimcr/status/1321608091503366144?s=21
#256 Re: The Garden » Current Events Thread » 244 weeks ago
We've talked about early voting and what it means a lot. Nate Silver has a good stats look at it.
For example, Biden lost independents by 13 points in Nevada in 2016, per the exit poll there. This year, he leads them by 3 points, in an average of the last 6 polls of the state. That amounts to a net 6 point swing to Biden.
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 28, 2020
In many state/national polls, Biden also gets a slightly higher share of Republicans than Trump does of Democrats. In Nevada polls, for instance, Trump gets 6% of Democrats but Biden gets 9% of Republicans. That's amounts to about a 2 point swing to Biden vs. 2016.
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 28, 2020
So if you had the same partisan turnout split as in 2016 in Nevada but with this year's partisan breakdown of the vote, Biden would win by ~8 points not ~2 like Clinton. Probably though the split will be a bit worse for Democrats which is why polls have him up ~6 instead.
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 28, 2020
Similarly, in FL, polls have Biden winning indies by 6 points after Clinton lost them by 4 in '16. They also show Biden getting 9% of the R vote while Trump gets 7% of Ds. That equals a ~5-point swing to Biden vs. 2016 holding the partisan composition of the electorate constant. https://t.co/D2yPHS0c0t
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 28, 2020
A 5-point swing toward Biden would put him at +4. Instead, polls have him at +2, meaning that they expect the D/R/I breakdown to be a bit worse for Democrats than 2016. Still, Biden (narrowly) leads based on greater support from indies and crossover R's than Clinton got.
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 28, 2020
EDIT: Sorry, this was more gigantic than I thought it would be.
#257 Re: The Garden » Current Events Thread » 244 weeks ago
All of social media is a cesspool. They are doing way too much with our personal data and habits. This is from Facebook to Twitter, Tik Tok, Snapchat, Instagram, LinkedIn, all of them. If I didn't need Facebook for my 9-to-5, I'd probably not have it anymore, or at least make it family-only.
#258 Re: The Garden » Current Events Thread » 244 weeks ago
So, this is gonna be the legal challenge, eh? Votes on election night should determine the winner, not anything afterward. Networks should just not declare any winners then. Only the media declares winners on election night.
States don't even start certifying results until Nov. 10. Some deadlines are in December. The electors don't even vote until Dec. 14. He's just shockingly ignorant of how elections work--or thinks we are.
#259 Re: The Garden » Covid 19 » 244 weeks ago
My buddy and I talked a long time about a vaccine over beers on his deck a couple weeks back. We both lean toward not having one that’s really gonna be worth a shit. Most you have to take twice. That’s gonna be tough to get people to do, especially if side effects first time around are as bad as I’m reading.
I don’t know what the complete answer is. We’re mostly wearing masks now, shit is shut down, people are distancing, washing hands, and yet it’s very close to completely out of control. It’s gotta be aerosol, which Trump told Bernstein was the case.
A vaccine would be nice, but I hope there’s an equal push for good treatments outside of that.
#260 Re: The Garden » Current Events Thread » 244 weeks ago
BREAKING:
— Sam, D. Eng (c) (@SunshineSt8Sam) October 26, 2020
THE POLLS ARE WRONG!
Republicans now lead in Wisconsin in number of ballots returned!
- Republican ballots: 42%
- Democrat ballots: 36% pic.twitter.com/MweQOmULPZI can't attest for the underlying source, but if the claim is true, Wisconsin could indeed go for Trump again.
A followup.
The image in the original tweet was either erroneous or (more likely) manipulated to convey a lie. TargetSmart has the current count at 40.5% Dem, 36.8% Rep, 22.7% Unaffiliated. pic.twitter.com/twUXKWZ4Ak
— Jules Winnfield (@paulm4749) October 26, 2020
