Lines too damn long.

Going to vote for himself, haha. Boooooooooooo!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z7cG0E-Du_c

I think Hillary is going to win tomorrow and here is why:

Obama’s job approval is currently around 55%. Compare that to other outgoing presidents-it’s pretty damn good. That’s quite a feat for the “worst president ever” I might add. On the flip side, the Republican Congress is at 11%.

The economy. Despite the doom and gloom pumped by the GOP, economic numbers are good. Everyday investors (Roth/401ks) have done great during this administration, and people like stability. Trump is hardly synonymous with the word “stable.” That’s why we’ve seen Wall Street panic and dump securities when Trump’s numbers went up last week.

Latinos. They are breaking records for turnout in Nevada and Florida in early voting. They are also a demographic that isn’t followed as closely and apparently difficult to poll. For this reason alone, I’m putting my money on both those states to go Blue (even though RCP has them essentially within the MOE.)

Women voters. For obvious reasons, many women do not like Trump. I’d also add into this category, Republican women who vote for Hillary without telling their husbands.

Republican defectors and Republicans who stay at home. No major newspaper has endorsed Trump. Various newspapers who always endorsed a Republican candidate, would not recommend Trump. Some even endorsed Hillary. Many prominent establishment Republicans have publicly said they were voting for Hillary, while others said they simply will not vote for Trump. The exit polling in Florida showed many Republicans voted for Hillary for the top of the ticket, but stuck to the GOP lower (the same respondents voted overwhelmingly for Rubio for instance) down. AKA: Secret Hillary voters.

Hillary’s ground game is far superior. She has more field offices, and her get out the vote operation dwarfs anything Trump has.

Trumps path to 270 is a tough road. Unless all of the polling data is pure junk, then Trump must win all the swing states, and then break into Hillary’s Democrat firewall in order to win. Since the polling companies were utilized in the GOP primary and were accurate, I see no reason to believe it’s skewed now.

Since we’re at the end of the line, I will just make my final guesses rather than put up a map that reflects RCPs polling aggregate (and leave states undecided for instance.)

Fox News walked back most of what they reported a few days ago and Bret Baier apologized for the words he used. I thought that was odd. Makes sense now.