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#1401 Re: The Garden » US Politics Thread » 498 weeks ago
It's not a poll, it's a statistic: https://countyballotfiles.elections.myf … ublicStats
I didn't say it was a poll, I said it was similar to the site "Skewed polls".
Statistics can also be interpreted to say nearly anything, which this guy clearly is. That's why I think it's best to stick with somebody like Nate Silver who actually does this stuff for a living. Not some guy online who wants Trump to win.
#1402 Re: The Garden » US Politics Thread » 498 weeks ago
https://twitter.com/StatesPoll/status/791220348746334209
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Skewed Polls part 2. I went to that guys site, his numbers are ummm...interesting to say the least. He has Trump starting with 260 and Hillary with 213. He considers PA, MI, MN to still be toss up states and has given Trump Florida already.
#1403 Re: The Garden » US Politics Thread » 498 weeks ago
Ignore the surrogate at the end, the profiling by both parties is really terrifying.
Big data was extremely useful for Obama in both elections (as the video touched on.) Databases are everything now, from big to small business owners, it's all about collecting data so you can keep create and retain customers. That's all Facebook really is IMO, one massive data collection bank. You're also the product, haha.
I think this is why Hillary has another advantage. Surely Obama's team has granted her their massive database and paired that with an aggressive ground game. Trump's campaign has that, but it's a pipsqueak in comparison. Mitt got crushed by it in 2012, and Trump's isn't even approaching what Mitt had.
#1404 Re: The Garden » US Politics Thread » 498 weeks ago
It is done. I have mailed my absentee ballot in Ohio for Clinton. I feel so dirty
Next week you'll be on Craigslist looking for dudes to gay marry. It's just what we do as registered Dems.
I will also stand by my theory put forth earlier: Secret Hillary voters. People who won't admit to friends/family/pollsters that they would ever vote for Hillary, but will behind the curtain over Trump. While anecdotal, I've seen two Republicans I know online vote for Hillary. Both in-laws who are Fox News watching card carrying Republicans, will not be voting for Trump. Another old coworker I knew years ago, who listens to Rush everyday, won't be voting for Trump. I feel that sentiment is going to resonate with Republicans across the country, especially females.
#1405 Re: The Garden » US Politics Thread » 498 weeks ago
http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/ … spartandhp
Fuck, Newt and Megyn Kelly go at it.
"You're fascinated with sex", says the guy who went after Bill Clinton for 18 months over a blow job.
#1406 Re: The Garden » US Politics Thread » 498 weeks ago
The thing I don't understand is....why?
Do you think his motivations changed as he went through the process?
I really don't understand why he would even want the job. He could continue to barely work for a living. Continue living the easy life.
There's not an ounce of altruism in the man. There's just something I can't quite put my finger on it, but something never felt truly real about his candidacy.
Something tells me the post election season will reveal a lot about his original goals.
Frontline had a great expose on this election. In the first five minutes the presented an interesting theory which may very well be why he ran. Watch the first 5 (although the whole thing is worth watching) and let me know what you think.
#1407 Re: The Garden » US Politics Thread » 498 weeks ago
Even his main talking point, immigration, was totally different four years ago. Back then he was against every single thing he is for today.
To me this video only fortifies the idea that Trump is an opportunist. He saw a weak party (GOP) and an angry demographic inside that party that he could exploit. He then sharpened his message to appeal specifically to that subgroup. It's clear though that he doesn't mean any of it.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=juxzekDz4JY
#1408 Re: The Garden » US Politics Thread » 498 weeks ago
Do you really think Clinton only tells one 'lie' for every 10 Trump gives?
Sure. I've never seen anybody lie like Trump does. He's an outrageous liar, just continuous horseshit.
Again to claim they are "the same" here is just non sense and to claim she actually lies more than he does is just stupid.
#1409 Re: The Garden » US Politics Thread » 498 weeks ago
Hillary lies as much or more than Trump.
'
You may find this suprising, but people actually keep track of stuff like this. From the statements made in debates, Trump overwhelmingly tells more lies. Not by a little bit either, but HUGE.
That's why I love fact checks, data etc, it always exposes liars such as yourself.
#1410 Re: Guns N' Roses » Melissa sings national anthem in Seattle » 498 weeks ago
Sweet.
