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#1611 Re: The Garden » 2016 Presidential Election Thread » 508 weeks ago
I think some of you really need to understand economics better than you do. Housing prices are inflated. It's a mirage. Same as it was before. Eventually the bubble bursts. Same with the stock market. Look at history. The facts don't support the prices in either case. Then when the artificial prices implode, the person in charge gets blamed for reality while the person in charge when the artificial inflation happened gets all the credit for something that wasn't real. It's all a mirage that people don't understand at all.
You're saying real estate prices are inflated nationally? That's quite the claim. I'd like you to provide evidence to support that.
All real estate is local and then there are micromarkets inside those cities. Money is still cheap right now, inventory is low and demand is high in many (but not all) cities across this country. On top of that we have had a great deal of cash sloshing around for years now. For instance at one point in northern NV cash transactions took up over half of the sales. Still to this day they take up 25-30% of sales. This says to me that investors see real estate as a safe place for money with a solid ROI. Explain to me how a cash fueled market will "implode" later.
You could take a medium sized city like Las Vegas and see areas where appreciation/velocity is higher than others. Some communities sell in days, while others that appeal to an entire different demographic may take months (although still in a nice area.) So to make a claim that "housing prices are inflated" may be true in San Francisco, but hardly can be applied nationally.
Do I feel the stock market is inflated? Could be. But again we have a lot of cheap money and people (Corporations my friends) buy assets, and leverage themselves to buy more. Either way, we've had a seven year bull market with fantastic gains. You can cut it anyway you'd like, but that's reality (something you pride yourself on, ironically.) Will it pull back again? Absolutely it will. But it doesn't take a genius to figure out that markets will go up/go down/repeat.
So what a shocker. Cheap money fuels asset prices, and higher priced money puts downward pressure on them.
But let's play your game. What has Obama done that improved the housing crash? Can you give any specifics that tie back to actual change?
Tying in to what I just posted above (this will drive our resident conspiracy theorist bonkers), Obama appointed Bernanke who chose to keep rates low. Cheap money created a floor, and spurred home buying again. Republicans predicted massive inflation and devaluation of the dollar; neither happened.
#1612 Re: The Garden » 2016 Presidential Election Thread » 508 weeks ago
Anywho...I don't understand Trump's latest move appointing a Breitbart executive as the CEO of his campaign. It's seems as if he is doubling down on his divisive rhetoric. Trump is losing minorities, women, and establishment Republicans. Why in the world would he team up with anybody associated with Breitbart? Makes no sense.
#1613 Re: The Garden » 2016 Presidential Election Thread » 508 weeks ago
Unfortunately disastrous would be best for Clinton as well, but people keep living in the imaginary world where she's a good idea.
It's going to be another shit 4 years for you, isn't it?
I'm sure you said the same thing about Obama too... So weird how you guys are all down in the dumps, yet retirement accounts have done nothing but go up for 7 years. Real estate has appreciated, often by double digits in many markets etc etc. I guess you prefer the W years where your money was on fire and your home value was cut in half? Is that better?
#1614 Re: The Garden » 2016 Presidential Election Thread » 508 weeks ago
The latest Florida poll has Clinton up by 9. Which now leaves her with a 4.5 point average over Trump in Florida. Just squeaking outside the margin of error. She's also won the last half a dozen polls in that state.
Right now that puts her at about 302 EVs to start.
#1615 Re: Guns N' Roses » Better - Studio Version of 2016 Live Arrangement(fan mix) » 508 weeks ago
Cramer wrote:That new riff is fucking awesome. Imagine a new song built of something like that...wow.
It's a dead-simple riff, but the build-up is awesome and it gets heavy as fuck.
Keep is simple = awesomeness.
#1616 Re: The Garden » 2016 Presidential Election Thread » 508 weeks ago
Lies, deceit, fraud and stretching the law to its breaking point. If you don't see that or acknowledge this (as virtually all the Clinton fanboys on this site fail to grasp) you're not an objective or informed person, just a cheerleader.
I think you'll find that most aren't "Clinton fanboys" but find the prospect of a lunatic like Trump to be disastrous at best.
#1617 Re: The Garden » 2016 Presidential Election Thread » 508 weeks ago
#1618 Re: The Garden » 2016 Presidential Election Thread » 508 weeks ago
Never in my life have I seen such a media campaign against someone. Typing Trump and news in google and it's pages upon pages, all negative.
The guy says horrible things. What do you expect?
#1619 Re: The Garden » 2016 Presidential Election Thread » 508 weeks ago
Just an FYI on that story, it's entirely based on Rasmussen polling, which is one of the most right-leaning pollsters out there. It only gets a C+ on Nate Silver's ranking of pollsters.
And I keep reading "the race is close."
Where is it close?
Will someone answer that? I'm begging you.
The battleground states aren't even battlegrounds at this point. Washington Post poll just released has Hillary up by 7, 8, 9 or more points.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/page/201 … DPpMbWibQ#
The great thing about the poll above is you can change it based on different responses, likely voters, registered voters, democrats, etc. Take a look. She gets 88% of Dems to vote for her; he gets 77% of GOP. She gets 39% of Ind.
Alarmingly, she gets 87% of the black vote and 69% of the non-white vote.
I don't quite understand what they are talking about. I keep asking for information, but nobody can answer.
The race is not even close (at this point) anymore. People here keep posting cherry picked general election polling results, new phone app results, "unskewed" polling results, and online polls etc because they are then able to ignore the reality of the the Electoral Map. The electoral map currently shows Hillary at 273-302 to start. State polling averages also shows her ahead in every single swing state. Think about that...all of them.
A great deal of the GOP won't be voting for Trump at all this election. Never in my life have I seen so many prominent members of a political party speak against their own-it's unprecedented. Hillary essentially takes all of the minority votes.
Absentee voting starts soon, and most people have already made up their minds. The debates will be the final blow to Trump. I'm sure some of these half wits will celebrate his Jr. High narrative and punchlines, but it will only sour more people at the end of the day. Unless something incredible is released from Wikileaks, Hillary Clinton will be the new POTUS.
Based on the trajectory and what I see today, I'd bet she picks up 323-347 EVs.
#1620 Re: The Garden » 2016 Presidential Election Thread » 509 weeks ago
Another article from the liberal Huff Post saying basically the same thing.
The Liberal Huffington post isn't making this claim. They are writing an article about a conservative who who is. Hardly a shocker, it's what all Republicans say now that Obama is president. Again, were any of you applying this metric to prior presidents? Of course not.
