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#1611 Re: The Garden » 2016 Presidential Election Thread » 533 weeks ago
Insider accounts are floating around that Trump is going to announce his new plan to allow illegal immigrants to obtain citizenship. Surely he isn't going to back off one of his main points: Building a wall and purging America of illegals. Is he?
Any attempt to appear more humane and appeal to a broader voter demographic (too late anyway) would surely implode his base.
#1612 Re: The Garden » 2016 Presidential Election Thread » 533 weeks ago
Trump is having a great week. This shit will tighten up. I don't care about the polls right now. Come October we will know. But he is bouncing back. I like his female campaign manager and left alone with her I would make love to her.
What evidence do you have that he's bouncing back? The GOP is in full freak out mode right now. Nobody with numbers like this has ever turned it around so late in the game. Just sayin'...
#1613 Re: The Garden » 2016 Presidential Election Thread » 533 weeks ago
Should I bring up all of the presentations I've made (and been asked to make) at various universities and organizations regarding the job market, how to find a job, how to present a resume, etc? Do you need a list? At what point will you just accept that I know what I am talking about?
You support Hillary based on her supposed "qualifications" yet question mine. Insane. Safe to say I am more qualified to do my job than she is to be president. I'll stand by that as a fact as well...at worst we're equally qualified if you think I somehow exaggerated my qualifications.
I'm still waiting for you to explain to us how the entire country is currently in a real estate bubble Mr. "Expert."
#1614 Re: The Garden » 2016 Presidential Election Thread » 533 weeks ago
Meanwhile back to the rigged polls... Nate Silver has Ohio for Hillary at this point. I've only been using RCP average for state polling to put my map together and had OH @ 2.6+ for Clinton. He's gathering data from many more sources however and believes Ohio is now blue. Not as strong of leads as VA and CO for instance, but still blue. Trump leads in no swing states btw.
The map now looks like this, with Nate giving Hillary an 86% chance of winning with 356 EVs.

#1615 Re: The Garden » 2016 Presidential Election Thread » 533 weeks ago
I think some of you really need to understand economics better than you do. Housing prices are inflated. It's a mirage. Same as it was before. Eventually the bubble bursts. Same with the stock market. Look at history. The facts don't support the prices in either case. Then when the artificial prices implode, the person in charge gets blamed for reality while the person in charge when the artificial inflation happened gets all the credit for something that wasn't real. It's all a mirage that people don't understand at all.
You're saying real estate prices are inflated nationally? That's quite the claim. I'd like you to provide evidence to support that.
All real estate is local and then there are micromarkets inside those cities. Money is still cheap right now, inventory is low and demand is high in many (but not all) cities across this country. On top of that we have had a great deal of cash sloshing around for years now. For instance at one point in northern NV cash transactions took up over half of the sales. Still to this day they take up 25-30% of sales. This says to me that investors see real estate as a safe place for money with a solid ROI. Explain to me how a cash fueled market will "implode" later.
You could take a medium sized city like Las Vegas and see areas where appreciation/velocity is higher than others. Some communities sell in days, while others that appeal to an entire different demographic may take months (although still in a nice area.) So to make a claim that "housing prices are inflated" may be true in San Francisco, but hardly can be applied nationally.
Do I feel the stock market is inflated? Could be. But again we have a lot of cheap money and people (Corporations my friends) buy assets, and leverage themselves to buy more. Either way, we've had a seven year bull market with fantastic gains. You can cut it anyway you'd like, but that's reality (something you pride yourself on, ironically.) Will it pull back again? Absolutely it will. But it doesn't take a genius to figure out that markets will go up/go down/repeat.
So what a shocker. Cheap money fuels asset prices, and higher priced money puts downward pressure on them.
But let's play your game. What has Obama done that improved the housing crash? Can you give any specifics that tie back to actual change?
Tying in to what I just posted above (this will drive our resident conspiracy theorist bonkers), Obama appointed Bernanke who chose to keep rates low. Cheap money created a floor, and spurred home buying again. Republicans predicted massive inflation and devaluation of the dollar; neither happened.
#1616 Re: The Garden » 2016 Presidential Election Thread » 534 weeks ago
Anywho...I don't understand Trump's latest move appointing a Breitbart executive as the CEO of his campaign. It's seems as if he is doubling down on his divisive rhetoric. Trump is losing minorities, women, and establishment Republicans. Why in the world would he team up with anybody associated with Breitbart? Makes no sense.
#1617 Re: The Garden » 2016 Presidential Election Thread » 534 weeks ago
Unfortunately disastrous would be best for Clinton as well, but people keep living in the imaginary world where she's a good idea.
It's going to be another shit 4 years for you, isn't it?
I'm sure you said the same thing about Obama too... So weird how you guys are all down in the dumps, yet retirement accounts have done nothing but go up for 7 years. Real estate has appreciated, often by double digits in many markets etc etc. I guess you prefer the W years where your money was on fire and your home value was cut in half? Is that better?
#1618 Re: The Garden » 2016 Presidential Election Thread » 534 weeks ago
The latest Florida poll has Clinton up by 9. Which now leaves her with a 4.5 point average over Trump in Florida. Just squeaking outside the margin of error. She's also won the last half a dozen polls in that state.
Right now that puts her at about 302 EVs to start.
#1619 Re: Guns N' Roses » Better - Studio Version of 2016 Live Arrangement(fan mix) » 534 weeks ago
Cramer wrote:That new riff is fucking awesome. Imagine a new song built of something like that...wow.
It's a dead-simple riff, but the build-up is awesome and it gets heavy as fuck.
Keep is simple = awesomeness.
#1620 Re: The Garden » 2016 Presidential Election Thread » 534 weeks ago
Lies, deceit, fraud and stretching the law to its breaking point. If you don't see that or acknowledge this (as virtually all the Clinton fanboys on this site fail to grasp) you're not an objective or informed person, just a cheerleader.
I think you'll find that most aren't "Clinton fanboys" but find the prospect of a lunatic like Trump to be disastrous at best.
