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#1741 Re: The Garden » 2016 Presidential Election Thread » 549 weeks ago
Axlin16 wrote:Cramer wrote:Please do not speak on my behalf, and then argue against that.
Oh and btw, this comment... umm... not sure how to take it.
Isn't this the ENTIRE BASIS of an internet message board?
I thought that was what the 'Reply' button was for...
I think what he means is that you are attributing ideas to him that aren't actually found in his text and then arguing against those propositions as if it was something he said
This.
#1742 Re: Guns N' Roses » Axl Rose joins AC/DC » 549 weeks ago
I'm getting really stoked about this now. I wish I could see them when they come back to America. But I think they already played Vegas.
#1743 Re: The Garden » 2016 Presidential Election Thread » 549 weeks ago
You watch too much of the mainstream, corporate-media. That's what they, and their polls want you to believe.
I don't watch "news." I don't even have cable. It's all garbage. Please do not speak on my behalf, and then argue against that.
Rarely are these exit polls EVER correct.
I'm not talking about exit polls. I'm talking about incoming data right now. That doesn't mean Trump v Hillary polls. It means likability scores, popularity of the Republican party (or lack of) Obama's current approval ratings, Hillary's demographic strengths/weaknesses, females who overwhelmingly hate Trump, minorities who hate Trump, apathetic Republicans who hate Trump, the demographic shift of the Electoral College map over the last decade (blue)...on and on.
In 2012, the polls never had Romney beating Obama, but the GOP was blinded by the fact that thinking Romney had a chance. Most polls had Romney & Obama neck and neck.
The GOP was blinded by residing in a echo chamber and claiming the polls were skewed by the liberal media. They even created their own "unskewed polls" and brought out talking heads who didn't know jack shit about statistics to refute what they were being told by everybody else.
Nate Silver called it, almost exactly to the EV. Some polls were off, some were way off, and others were on the money. A true statistician has the time to look at all of this data and arrive at a more acute conclusion. That's what Nate Silver did.
Lets look at an electoral map. Hillary's EV walking in the door-251 EVs. Now, NV will probably go blue, as well as Iowa. But I'll play the Devil's advocate and give four other states to Trump. That means Trump could win Fl, VA, OH and NC, and still lose.
With Hillary's past, bad press
The bad press applies overwhelmingly to the right side of the aisle. In other words while it's red meat for the GOP base, the rest of the country sees how transparent this is (13 Benghazi hearings that yielded absolutely nothing.) The amount of Democrat voters these "scandals" will sway are minimal.
Forget money, and all the comedy routines making fun of Trump's idle threats. Trump is the wave. No different than Obama in 2008.
They are not alike at all. Obama was well liked by most Americans, while Trump is overwhelmingly disliked. Obama's "unfavorable rating" in 2008 was 39%. Trump score reigns supreme at 67% (The highest in over three decades.) After the primaries Obama was embraced by the Democrat party. Trump's eventual nomination will strike a fatal blow to the GOP. They're despondent at this point already. Obama also had polling data that predicted he would win a general election, unlike Trump which shows he will lose to either Hillary or Bernie.
I agree Trump is being pushed along by a wave of people fed up with the Status Quo, but in order to win a General, he's going to need a lot more than what he's got.
#1744 Re: The Garden » 2016 Presidential Election Thread » 549 weeks ago
bigbri wrote:Smoking Guns wrote:Looks all but official. Trump vs Clinton
Then it's just a formality: Hillary Clinton will be president. She'll win in a landslide. No doubt in my mind. Two of the worst nominees in my lifetime.
It'll never happen.
I'm telling you.
We're going to come back to this post in November, I promise you that. Not only (keeping in mind no dirty tricks), straight Trump vs. Hilary... not only will Trump win, he'll win by over 60% of the popular vote.
Yep
Where are you getting this idea from? There is zero data to support this. None. Zilch. Nada.
It is going to be a blowout of epic proportion in Hillary's favor. Trump is despised. The GOP has the lowest approval rating in the last 20 years right now; most of which comes from Republicans on top of it.
Hillary has about 250 EVs walking in the door.
Trump with over 60% of the popular vote....how much money would you like to wager on that one? 
#1745 Re: The Garden » 2016 Presidential Election Thread » 549 weeks ago
Cramer wrote:Guy in second place with no chance of winning picked Carly Fiorina as his Veep pick.
Well hells bells, Bernie might as well announce his Veep pick next! How about Elizabeth Warren while we're at it.
I don't think it will be Warren, and I don't think she would accept. I know Gephardt was going to be her VP pick in 08. I'd like Sharrod Brown. She could always choose Biden again.
I was kidding. But if I had to guess, I'd put money on Julian Castro for Hillary.
#1746 Re: The Sunset Strip » Corey Feldman needs your money for new album » 550 weeks ago
I can't help but feel sorry for the guy. But on the other hand, he's such a childish and ridiculous man. It's easy for me to dislike him.
His music sucks too. Although for some reason I watched this video a few times...probably for the chicks.
#1747 Re: The Sunset Strip » Corey Feldman needs your money for new album » 550 weeks ago
The vice articles about his shitty parties are pretty great too.
Go on.......
#1748 Re: The Garden » 2016 Presidential Election Thread » 550 weeks ago
Guy in second place with no chance of winning picked Carly Fiorina as his Veep pick.
Well hells bells, Bernie might as well announce his Veep pick next! How about Elizabeth Warren while we're at it.
#1749 Re: Guns N' Roses » Duff McKagan on Axl Rose, Appetite & Guns N Roses: 2013 Interview » 550 weeks ago
She talks too much!
#1750 Re: The Sunset Strip » Prince is Dead » 550 weeks ago
Word on the street is that he had Aids.... Rumor is also that when he became ultra religious he believed he was cured (the cocktails make the disease undetectable in his system) so he stopped taking the drugs.... Not saying this is the cause of death, but, this may be true.
eh...AIDS would be difficult to believe these days. Medicine can allow people to live out the rest of their lives quite easily. Even without medicine, if you live (truly) healthy lifestyle you can live many many years. If I had a choice between a cancer diagnosis and HIV...I'd pick HIV.
