I think the Obama campaign is being little over zealous in their own Democratic delegate count in the end, but I don't think Hillary will have enough to out right take it.  I actually see it being slightly in her favor.  But I do believe Michican and Florida will eventually be counted and that of course would put her over the edge.  I think that because Hillary has won the states in the primary that will ultimately play the deciding factor in the election, the super delegates will nominate her. 

The Republicans have an uphill battle regardless, but I see a very real possibility of McCain winning against either candidate, but ecspecially Clinton.  Obama will be able to mobilize alot of voters which could certainly tip states like Ohio in his favor. 

Honestly, I think Obama should be greatful if he doesn't win this time.  For the Democratic party, allowing McCain to win would probably allow them to win decisively in 2012 and many elections to come as Ann Coulter wrote today.  The Iraq situation will be much different 4 years from now and the Democratic candidate could focus on issues that would be much more receptive such as socialized medicine.

If the Dems do in fact win this year, the Republicans will have a great chance to win in 2012 and successive elections.  Of course either candidate could do great things in 4 years and neutralize the nay sayers.

Anyway, I stand by my prediction I've had for the past 16 months.  Clinton vs. McCain with McCain winning in the end.

Last I checked, the number of delegates won was still up in the air.  Both sides and many outlest have different numbers.  I meant to say "sweeping win", sorry for the typo.  You have to look at the states people win, not only delegates because that is what determines the ultimate winner.  Secondly, you can't assume that just because someone voted Democrat now means they will in November.  While that would most certainly hold true, there are other factors as to why Republicans aren't out in the numbers Dems have been.

This election is going to be heating up soon.  I've been checking polls in Va, Oh and Tx and Clinton leads in all of them.  This is truly going to be very interesting because Hillary is gonna be the spin masta trying to attack McCain on his support and strategy for the war.  Health care is not going to bring her any votes she wouldn't already get and I don't see how she has any economic leverage on McCain.  I believe that if the Democrats would have nominated Obama, they'd have almost sealed the deal, but I don't think that will happen.

Romney dropping out is going to allow McCain to start campaigning now rather than months out.  Hopefully Huckabee will bow out graciously and not force McCain to pander to debates.  The money will start to pour into the McCain campaign.

You're not very good at analogies are you?  Regan left the Democratic party because it used to be a bunch of hardliners that evolved into the modern feel good and nanny state advocates they have become today.  This was in stark contrast to the message of Goldwater Republicans and the core of the GOP.  While Bush has certainly deviated from the traditional GOP model, his behavior and spending is very similar to Democrats.  So rather than try to cast out the neo-cons (I have never defended them and despise them as much as the most dedicated leftist) from the party, you just happen to join the party that advocates everything Bush did that pissed off the republican base.  You don't see how that is completely different than Reagan leaving the Dems?  There are plenty of Republicans who disagree with the war and deplore Bush's spending.  If you were ever truly a Republican, you'd stay with them.  I just find it peculiar when people have moments of clarity when it's the popular thing to do.  Millions had such moments leading into the war in Iraq and coincidentally had them again when the war's popularity began to shift.  While I can't say with any amount of certainty this applies to you, your logic for voting for Obama is extremely flawed - at least if you were ever a Republican.