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- jimmythegent
- Rep: 30
Re: Current Events Thread
It's going to be car-crash viewing, that is for sure.
As someone over the other side of the world, we are all watching with fascination, horror and morbid curiosity. Your obsession with reality TV has indeed come circle.
Everyone thought it was impossible 4 years ago so I'd take any poll with a grain of salt at this point. What will be interesting to see is if Trump is soundly beaten, will he handover the reigns peacefully? Yeah, right.
Re: Current Events Thread
An eye opening article. It's the NY Post. I don't care if it's Pravda. They bring up valid points.
Democrats are masking Biden’s frailty: Devine
Has there been a worse candidate in history than Joe Biden?
When this election is over, the books revealing what went on backstage will be illuminating.
But the truth is there for anyone with eyes to see.
Take Biden’s car rally in Flint, Mich., Saturday, with a star-power assist from Barack Obama.
Awkward barely covers it.
Obama, effortlessly cool, gave a warmup speech to the assembled cars before ramping up to a dramatic introduction: “My friend, the next president of the United States of America: Joe Biden!”
Moments ticked by, but there was no sign of the candidate.
“Joe Biden!” Obama repeated, a little less confidently. But still no show.
Obama tried a third time: “Joe Biden!
Biden at last emerged from a nearby building and did a pantomime slow jog to the stage.
The worst part came later.
After Biden had shouted his way through a short teleprompter speech, Obama came back onstage, perhaps to escort him off, because Biden did not seem to know where he was.
Obama mimed an elbow pump with his former VP to signal they should leave the stage and then quietly whispered to him, after which it dawned on Biden he’d forgotten his mask, not for the first time. When your entire campaign is about mask-shaming Trump supporters, it’s not a forgivable lapse.
Poor Biden looked like a chastened schoolboy as he fumbled through his folder and all his pockets looking for that pesky piece of cloth.
He walked back to the lectern and searched, to no avail, before fumbling through his pockets again. Finally, he found the mask in his left trouser pocket, held it aloft sheepishly at Obama, and placed it on his face.
But then he paused and looked in seeming confusion at the microphone lying on the lectern where he’d left it. He picked it up and held it briefly to his masked face before laying it down again and rejoining Obama.
Whatever emotions were going through Obama’s mind at that point he kept under wraps, but he did slow down and look back solicitously as he shepherded Biden down the stairs and away from prying eyes.
In other words, he was treating the man who would be president like an invalid.
Really, it was sad.
But this is the story of the campaign, encapsulated in 70 seconds of video, and it is an indictment on the entire Democratic establishment which has conspired to trick America into voting for someone incapable of being president.
Biden’s cognitive decline has been obvious for months. It’s more than his trademark clumsy gaffes such as “You ain’t black” or “Poor kids are just as bright and just as talented as white kids.”
It’s the fact he often has no idea where he is.
In Iowa, he thought he was in Ohio.
Or he doesn’t know what year it is. “I’m running as a proud Democrat for the United States Senate,” he has said more than once.
Last week, he seemed to confuse Donald Trump with former President George W. Bush. “Four more years of George, uh, George,” he said.
It’s his chronic inability with numbers, last month saying “200 million” Americans had died from COVID-19, which would be nearly two-thirds of the US population. During the primaries he declared guns have killed “150 million people” since 2007.
It’s his flashes of anger when challenged: “Hey, fat” he called one voter, “horse’s ass” he called another. He pokes people in the chest, wags his finger in their face and shouts. One young woman he bafflingly called a “dog-faced pony soldier.”
After previously saying he is tested “all the time,” he flew into a rage when asked by a black journalist if he’d had a cognitive test. “Why the hell would I take a test? C’mon, man . . . Are you a junkie?”
Trump now plays videos of Biden malfunctions at rallies. “He’s shot. Let’s face it,” the president said in Michigan on Sunday. “Those are the easy ones as we didn’t want to go any worse . . . They’re so bad that they’re not even funny.”
No, it’s not funny. It’s reprehensible.
Democratic powerbrokers schemed to choose Biden when there were other, more capable candidates on offer.
They knew his mind was going, and after 47 years in office, they must have known his character deficits.
In recent weeks, mounting evidence of his involvement in his family’s alleged influence-peddling schemes sent him back into the basement to avoid corruption questions.
The only reason the wheels haven’t fallen off his campaign is that almost the entire media establishment, coupled with the sinister power of Big Tech, is in collusion with the Democrats to cart Biden over the line and hide his frailties.
They were shamed into accepting blame for Hillary Clinton’s defeat in 2016 and now are trying to atone by giving Biden the easy run she convinced them she deserved.
But it hasn’t worked. In a sign of the panic now engulfing the Democratic Party, New York City Council Speaker Corey Johnson tweeted out an “urgent” plea late Saturday night for volunteers to go “knock doors in Pennsylvania,” the crucial swing state where Trump drew 57,000 people to a rally that day.
If Biden loses the election, as increasingly seems likely, Democrat voters ought to understand where their anger should be directed.
Not against Trump voters, but against a party machine that delivered a candidate so deficient that all the considerable mythmaking talents of East Coast journalists could not convince us he was up to being president.
Racial grievance backfires on left
All summer, Democrats cynically played the race card, stoked black grievance and encouraged civil unrest which too often turned into violent riots.
What an irony that it may have backfired as polls point to increased black support for Donald Trump.
Rasmussen has polled the black vote at around 25 percent, though the margin of error is high because the sample size is small.
Trafalgar Group has Trump improving his black vote in Pennsylvania at 13.4 percent and in Wisconsin at a whopping 19.6 percent.
It’s the “50 Cent effect,” according to chief Trafalgar pollster Robert Cahaly.
The rapper may have encouraged “shy” black Trump voters after he tweeted “Vote Trump” with a CNBC chart showing tax rates in New York under Biden would hit 62 percent: “I don’t care Trump doesn’t like black people 62 percent are you out of ya f–king mind.”
Even if Trump only improves his 2016 black vote of 8 percent nationally by a couple of points in the right places, it would spell catastrophe for the Democrats, says Florida-based political consultant Albert Marko.
“The statistics from early voting have shown a drop in the African-American turnout in key Democratic stronghold counties in Michigan and Pennsylvania with further evidence of black males supporting Trump more than in 2016,” he said.
“I cannot stress how this, along with a collapse of non-Mexican Latino vote, makes Biden’s chances of winning this election minimal at best.”
Maybe the reason Trump is winning over a disproportionate amount of the male vote is because he exudes unabashed “toxic” masculinity.
That triggers pussy-hat-wearing man-hating feminists, of course.
But refusing to bow to new woke gender roles may have won him the election.
Re: Current Events Thread
Here's another article. Definite hyperbole here(outlawing the internal combustion engine for starters), but it's a sneak peak at how the momentum has changed from the world fantasy booking Biden into the presidency to what's shaping up to be a Trump dance into the end zone.
Radical Environmentalism and The Green New Deal are the Undoing of the Traditional Democrat Party -- Iowa Is Proof
In 2016, the final poll from the Des Moines Register, on November 5, 2016, had Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton 46-39%. On September 12, Trump’s lead was only 1% — 40-39%. On October 5, Trump’s lead in Iowa was up to 4% — 43-39%.
Hillary Clinton just could never break that 40% barrier, and on election day the final outcome in Iowa was 51-42%, with Trump winning by nearly 150,000 votes. He also won in Wisconsin, Michigan, Indiana Ohio, and Pennsylvania — the entire upper Midwest industrial region, with the exception of Illinois.
This past September 24, the Des Moines Register poll had the candidates even at 47-47. What was noteworthy in the September poll was that Trump led by 21% with men, and Biden led by 20% with women.
Yesterday the Register released its final poll for Iowa — Trump now has a 7% advantage, 48-41%. Noteworthy is that while Trump’s share did not substantially increase, Biden’s share dropped by 6%.
Among independents, Trump leads Biden 49-35% — a crushing differential of 14%. In September the numbers were almost exactly reversed, with Biden leading Trump among Independents 50-38. Independents favored Trump by 13% in 2016 and were largely responsible for his victory over Clinton.
Also noteworthy in the poll is that Trump has made up ground with women voters – likely GOP women voters who have “come home” to the GOP. Trump now trails by only 9% — compared to 20% in September.
At the same time Biden’s position with men got worse, with his support falling another 4% — down to only 32% support among male voters.
Iowa is a Midwest farm state much like Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan. What it lacks is a major metropolitan city like Minneapolis-St. Paul, Milwaukee, or Detroit. Des Moines is the largest city in Iowa, and it accounted for less than 230,000 votes out of 1.56 million cast in 2016. If a Democrat can’t win rural voters in Iowa, a Democrat can’t win.
But Democrats have won rural votes in Iowa in the past. Iowa famously had both a GOP Senator and a Democrat Senator for 30 years. Tom Harkin represented Iowa in the Senate from 1985 to 2015, and Chuck Grassley has represented Iowa in the Senate since 1981.
Iowa has had 3 GOP governors and 2 Democrat governors over the past 36 years. It currently has 3 Democrat Congress members and only 1 GOP Congress member.
So when the Democrat Candidate for President sinks to 41% in the polls and is behind by double-digits with independents — repeating the scenario that led to 2016 — there are reasons other than the personal qualities of the candidate him/herself.
The Democrat Party has abandoned the interests of farm states like Iowa — and nowhere is that more true than with the elevation of the Green New Deal.
Ethanol — made from corn grown in Iowa — is blended with gasoline, not solar energy or wind power.
When you want to “transition away from oil” and outlaw the internal combustion engine, you are proposing to destroy the economy of a farm state like Iowa.
And the same issues extend to the non-urban parts of the remainder of the Upper Midwest states in the heartland.
The problem for today’s Democrat Party that is captive to the coastal interests of both the East and West coasts is that the Midwest states listen to what they say, and believes they’ll do what they are promising those coastal constituencies that they’ll do.
I don’t think Democrats will do what they promise because I think astute Democrat politicians realize most of their agenda is economic and political suicide. I have always believed their interest is simply in obtaining control of the levers of government — not to actually do what they talk about.
But Midwest voters aren’t taking chances.
They are going to vote for Donald Trump in even larger numbers than they did in 2016.
Re: Current Events Thread
mitchejw wrote:misterID wrote:No, I don't want them brain washed by either party. They're not being taught to question anything. They're being taught not to listen to anything that challenges their indoctrination.
That’s just not true...when i was growing up the history books painted a narrative that everything the US ever did was amazing...we’re the best at everything and everything we did was righteous and unquestioned...
In the 19th century this country was owned by property owning white men. This country was built on slavery and dirt cheap Chinese, Irish and other minority labor.
It’s all true.
As I said, it should be non partisan, which it absolutely isn't now. The teachers unwanted to ban parents from listening in on Social Studies classes during online learning... I wonder why.
(It's because parents were suddenly discovering what was being taught to their children and were livid)
It’s parents who want this white washed rose colored view of our history that are pissed.
What i was taught in history and social studies was conservative propaganda. A real rah-rah version of our history. A lie about our history.
Re: Current Events Thread
I’m telling you just the simple fact that Biden is a man and Hillary is a woman makes a major difference. Especially in the rust belt.
A majority of men in this country will not vote for a woman to be president.
Not to mention his approvals never go above 41-42%
The pathway to victory is in voter suppression and getting ballots thrown out across the country.
- Randall Flagg
- Rep: 139
Re: Current Events Thread
So I thought I'd post the final 2016 polls from the states that matter next to their 2020 polls
Arizona 2016:
Arizona 2020:
Florida 2016:
Florida 2020:
Michigan 2016:
Michigan 2020:
North Carolina 2016:
North Carolina 2020:
Ohio 2016:
Ohio 2020:
Pennsylvania 2016:
Pennsylvania 2020:
Wisconsin 2016:
Wisconsin 2020:
Re: Current Events Thread
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/po … wisconsin/
Trafalgar is a C- pollster according to five thirty eight.
Re: Current Events Thread
Flagg, you're kinda forgetting a variable that the polls have likely altered alot of their backend and research, to somewhat compensate for their 2016 mistakes in calling it.
So: A != A
I think the 2020 polls are probably including a few more trump support than 2016.
