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#91 Re: The Garden » Current Events Thread » 243 weeks ago

Randall Flagg wrote:
slcpunk wrote:

Biden must win NC, Ohio or PA or this race gets tight real quick.

Idk. Trump looks to be taking Ohio and NC far better than projected. Pa is anyone’s guess, but if FL, Tx, and GA go redder than predicted, it bodes well for Trump. I really think this is going to be a repeat of 2016.


I really don't know what I'm looking at yet, other than a highly competitive race. I tend to believe it will be more like 2018, in the sense that we'll know more about the total votes after about a week.

#92 Re: The Garden » Current Events Thread » 243 weeks ago

Biden must win NC, Ohio or PA or this race gets tight real quick.

#93 Re: The Garden » Current Events Thread » 243 weeks ago

Randall Flagg wrote:

Trump is doing incredibly well with hispanics and appears to be gaining more blacks than in 2016. Can anyone tell me what I’m missing that gives invigorated hope for Biden?

Cubans are different than Mexicans obviously, even though they're put in the same column. I'm not surprised by the south Florida vote, but we see Texas being extremely competitive probably in part to the Hispanic voters (although I'd imagine trump still wins that.) I'm also curious to see how Hispanics vote in Arizona and Nevada.

#94 Re: The Garden » 270 to win 2020 Edition » 243 weeks ago

PaSnow wrote:

Still can't get over how that night unfolded. Surreal.


haha, nobody was as surprised as Hillary or Trump I'd imagine.

#95 Re: The Garden » 270 to win 2020 Edition » 243 weeks ago

PaSnow wrote:

It's looking that way.  Florida & GA can even goto trump & isn't much of a concern. I think it's mostly called tonight.

The turnout numbers tell me it will probably be called tonight. Especially if we see some states like AZ, GA or FL get called at some point.

To me the demographics are telling me more than the polling numbers: women, seniors, first time voters, early voters etc.

I will say that the last general election I looked purely at the math on election night. I didn't take into consideration the trajectory as it unfolded. So for instance I'd say "She can lose these three states and still be good." But what I didn't think about was that if she DID lose those states, then there was a problem. Which I realized once it was happening.

#97 Re: The Garden » Current Events Thread » 243 weeks ago

bigbri wrote:

Here's one of the counties I talked about watching. Pinellas County, where I used to live. Trump needs this one, but with the I vote, it doesn't look like it's happening yet. But the GOP tends to vote early and late. It's gonna be as close as (INSERT ONE OF JAMES' METAPHORS HERE) https://twitter.com/data270/status/1323738376860803074?s=20

[/embed]

Sarasota is conservative IMO. Pinellas is too I guess, with the exception of St. Pete, which is pretty blue.

#98 Re: The Garden » Current Events Thread » 244 weeks ago

mitchejw wrote:
bigbri wrote:

I don’t watch Tucker. I know you’re shocked, right? He has a good delivery.

His comments tonight about why Fox isn’t going after this sleazy personal stuff about Hunter Biden are admirable.


[/embed]
Why are they admirable? Don’t be fooled by tucker saving face.

I was going to say. Tucker is suddenly this gentle little lamb who is taking the high road? "Hunter Biden isn't running for president" he says...it's all they've talked about for the last month.

I find this unlikely. A more reasonable explanation is that they had a big nothing burger and/or Fox's lawyers pulled him aside and told him to drop it to avoid litigation.

#99 Re: The Garden » Current Events Thread » 244 weeks ago

Smoking Guns wrote:

But the whole Russian thing was bullshit. No merit.

It's like you guys live in another dimension....or simply pathological.

#100 Re: The Garden » Current Events Thread » 244 weeks ago

Randall Flagg wrote:

UPS confirmed the package was found opened in transit and now they’ve found them!

Big deal. lol.

Nearly 80 million people have already voted, shattering turn out records. Does anybody sincerely believe that some bullshit Fox News conspiracy theory is going to sway the voters at this point?

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