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#1401 Re: The Garden » US Politics Thread » 523 weeks ago
Turns out Trump's internal polling is roughly the same as Nate Silver's. Surprised they would admit that.
#1402 Re: The Garden » US Politics Thread » 523 weeks ago
Looks like we're at a dozen now for women accusing Trump of groping them. You guys must be proud.
#1403 Re: The Garden » US Politics Thread » 523 weeks ago
Thank goodness for the Oathkeepers, who are going to make sure there is no funny business going on!
#1404 Re: The Garden » US Politics Thread » 524 weeks ago
misterID wrote:Smoking Guns wrote:If you take out the real high Hillary outliers it is a 3 point race. 3-4 is probably the real number.
Tbh, I don't really think it's close at all. That's just my feeling.
Just telling you the poll. You have 2 at double digits and everyone else is in that 2-6 range.
The national polling average has Clinton at +5.4%. Which makes sense to me.
#1405 Re: The Garden » US Politics Thread » 524 weeks ago
It's not a poll, it's a statistic: https://countyballotfiles.elections.myf … ublicStats
I didn't say it was a poll, I said it was similar to the site "Skewed polls".
Statistics can also be interpreted to say nearly anything, which this guy clearly is. That's why I think it's best to stick with somebody like Nate Silver who actually does this stuff for a living. Not some guy online who wants Trump to win.
#1406 Re: The Garden » US Politics Thread » 524 weeks ago
https://twitter.com/StatesPoll/status/791220348746334209
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Skewed Polls part 2. I went to that guys site, his numbers are ummm...interesting to say the least. He has Trump starting with 260 and Hillary with 213. He considers PA, MI, MN to still be toss up states and has given Trump Florida already.
#1407 Re: The Garden » US Politics Thread » 524 weeks ago
Ignore the surrogate at the end, the profiling by both parties is really terrifying.
Big data was extremely useful for Obama in both elections (as the video touched on.) Databases are everything now, from big to small business owners, it's all about collecting data so you can keep create and retain customers. That's all Facebook really is IMO, one massive data collection bank. You're also the product, haha.
I think this is why Hillary has another advantage. Surely Obama's team has granted her their massive database and paired that with an aggressive ground game. Trump's campaign has that, but it's a pipsqueak in comparison. Mitt got crushed by it in 2012, and Trump's isn't even approaching what Mitt had.
#1408 Re: The Garden » US Politics Thread » 524 weeks ago
It is done. I have mailed my absentee ballot in Ohio for Clinton. I feel so dirty
Next week you'll be on Craigslist looking for dudes to gay marry. It's just what we do as registered Dems.
I will also stand by my theory put forth earlier: Secret Hillary voters. People who won't admit to friends/family/pollsters that they would ever vote for Hillary, but will behind the curtain over Trump. While anecdotal, I've seen two Republicans I know online vote for Hillary. Both in-laws who are Fox News watching card carrying Republicans, will not be voting for Trump. Another old coworker I knew years ago, who listens to Rush everyday, won't be voting for Trump. I feel that sentiment is going to resonate with Republicans across the country, especially females.
#1409 Re: The Garden » US Politics Thread » 524 weeks ago
http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/ … spartandhp
Fuck, Newt and Megyn Kelly go at it.
"You're fascinated with sex", says the guy who went after Bill Clinton for 18 months over a blow job.
#1410 Re: The Garden » US Politics Thread » 524 weeks ago
The thing I don't understand is....why?
Do you think his motivations changed as he went through the process?
I really don't understand why he would even want the job. He could continue to barely work for a living. Continue living the easy life.
There's not an ounce of altruism in the man. There's just something I can't quite put my finger on it, but something never felt truly real about his candidacy.
Something tells me the post election season will reveal a lot about his original goals.
Frontline had a great expose on this election. In the first five minutes the presented an interesting theory which may very well be why he ran. Watch the first 5 (although the whole thing is worth watching) and let me know what you think.
