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#881 Re: The Garden » Current Events Thread » 289 weeks ago
I just saw they predict both Trump and McSally will win Arizona.
I just can't see him losing Florida.
She's not winning AZ and I doubt Trump loses Florida. Look at 2018. It's unlikely Trump gets Arizona, but certainly possible. You'll be able to call the election as soon as NC is decided if Trump doesn't win there. If he doesn't win NC, he's not going to get any of the blue wall states he got in 16 either. And if he doesn't get one of them, he loses.
What I'm much more concerned about is if ACB sides with the other four on PA when it comes up again this week. It went 4-4 last week. I don't agree with the shenanigans my state is up to, Wolf deciding we won't verify any signatures for the unprecedented amount of mail-in ballots the state forced (and already fucked up 25k in my county) on voters. But I also don't like some county clerk deciding if a signature looks good enough. This wasn't a problem previously and for the life of me I can't figure out why Democrats are opposed to requiring ID to vote (other than it would hurt shady shit like what PA is doing now). Every other first world nation has voter ID, but somehow this is just a tremendous attack on liberty to verify someone is who they say they are before casting a ballot.
#882 Re: The Garden » Current Events Thread » 289 weeks ago
I think its collapsing. There was no 'debate 2 bump', Pence's aides now have Covid, Covids gotten expectedly worse and will continue the next 7 days, including all weekend, and lastly early voting is thru the roof. Looks like he might even lose SC & GA.
That ain't happening either. He'll win both handedly.
#883 Re: The Garden » Current Events Thread » 289 weeks ago
Also it appears this model was issued in March, prior to the pandemic and all its caused. Even more reason to dismiss it.
#884 Re: Guns N' Roses » Robin's This I Love solo is the best moment in GNR history » 289 weeks ago
No, Slash's solo in November Rain is the best. But Robin's solo in TIL is fucking awesome. Better is still his greatest contribution.
#885 Re: The Garden » Current Events Thread » 290 weeks ago
That map is outrageous. How can their model be remotely accurate if they’re thinking a Republican would ever take New York.
#886 Re: The Garden » Current Events Thread » 290 weeks ago
For what it’s worth, my buddy running the campaign for five Midwest states for Trump is confident next week will be a repeat of 2016 from their internal numbers. I’m skeptical.
#887 Re: The Garden » Current Events Thread » 290 weeks ago
I’ve already said none of Hunter Biden’s actions have any bearing on his father. I wait for evidence before I accuse men of treason and participate in horrendous accusations. I have no emotional investment.
Buzzfeed is who released the discredited and now debunked Steele dossier. Sorry I assumed you were familiar with political history from just a few years ago.
If you participated in the Russian collision nonsense, and are now silent, it’s because you’re a partisan shill. I’m not accusing you of this, but those who did know who they are.
Again, please don’t make assumptions about my motives. It doesn’t reflect well.
#888 Re: The Garden » Current Events Thread » 290 weeks ago
As documented as those academic studies you claim you have that prove there are 72 genders? I’ll keep waiting for you to produce those too. I’ll trust Mueller over conspiracy types on the net. “Collusion” was the entire crux of their conspiracy. It didn’t happen. But yes, Russia spent $100k on Facebook memes.
I know Buzzfeed must be credible in your eyes, but the rest of us recognize that the media is officially acting on behalf of the Biden campaign to shield him from hard questions. Feel free to pick any interview the past 4 months if you’re not sure.
#889 Re: The Garden » Current Events Thread » 290 weeks ago
Can you imagine if you parroted the bullshit Steele dossier 4 years ago, and are now trying to be silent?
People who spread Russian collusion for years and never acknowledged they were duped even after Mueller, better step up now.
#890 Re: The Garden » Current Events Thread » 290 weeks ago
Randall Flagg wrote:I had/have a stutter. I largely outgrew it in high school (middle school was torture and my writing style and ability largely started there since I couldn't express myself verbally), but it never fully goes away. I've learned to quickly change words if I find myself stuck trying to articulate one, but still happens to this day. Especially when I'm really stressed or nervous. Biden does the same thing.
It's interesting you mentioned the writing. My son writes constantly, and it's a way to get around the speaking issues he encounters. Our speech therapist didn't touch on this much, but we always suspected it was related. Speech pattern problems can also be linked to eating habits, and he is a very picky eater.
For me with that knowledge and maybe yours as well, the first debate was pure torture to watch. Not just because of what Trump was doing, but because you could tell Biden just couldn't counter quickly enough in part because of his issue. I'm not sure if you did (do) this, but it's also why Biden often goes to a repeated phrase like "Here's the deal" or "Look" before saying what he wants to say. It gives him that extra moment to focus.
Be there for him. My father didn't give a shit and the other kids made my life hell 6th-8th grade. Left me with a chip on my shoulder and anger I didn't resolve until my early 30s.
