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-Jack-
 Rep: 40 

Re: Current Events...

-Jack- wrote:

If anyone is interested in polling methodology this is a great article.
https://goodauthority.org/news/election … weighting/

misterID
 Rep: 475 

Re: Current Events...

misterID wrote:

The difference between now and 2016 is that people aren’t holding their nose to vote Trump. The difference between now and 2020, no virus, and the media has no sway in shaping the narrative. The people have progressive fatigue.

I think Trump wins and wins by a healthy margin

mitchejw
 Rep: 131 

Re: Current Events...

mitchejw wrote:

Polling is about putting people into a demographic and measuring the outcome based on election participation.

Kamala is such an awful candidate; I don't see how this could be close. Fake. Phony. Fraud. Disingenuous are just a few words I can come up with.

I read back in March that the only demographic that is getting more liberal are college educated women. Then I decided to swallow the red pill and have been doing it ever since. Been eating a lot of crow ever since.

slashsfro
 Rep: 53 

Re: Current Events...

slashsfro wrote:

You guys crack me up with some of this stuff.  I’ll say the opposite and say Harris wins handily.

Oh anyone complaining about Harris being a shitty candidate hasn’t been paying attention at all to Trump for the last 2-4 mos.

James
 Rep: 664 

Re: Current Events...

James wrote:

Valid points above but I agree with slashsfro....

Kamala wins.

Trump had it in the bag months ago but just an avalanche of shit since.

Choosing Vance prevented me from holding my nose and voting for him.

Peter Thiel's fuck toy does not belong within a light year of the presidency...much less an 80 year old heartbeat.


Polling isn't anywhere near as reliable as it was back in the day. Having said that, some of the exit polling coming out of various states show the small potential for a Kamala landslide taking shape.

They will contest the election whether it's a tie or a Reagan style landslide. The culture war demands it...and so does the grift.


I want the GOP to torch the MAGA grift machine to the ground post election and rebuild from the ground up.

slashsfro
 Rep: 53 

Re: Current Events...

slashsfro wrote:
James wrote:

Valid points above but I agree with slashsfro....

Kamala wins.

Trump had it in the bag months ago but just an avalanche of shit since.

Choosing Vance prevented me from holding my nose and voting for him.

Peter Thiel's fuck toy does not belong within a light year of the presidency...much less an 80 year old heartbeat.


Polling isn't anywhere near as reliable as it was back in the day. Having said that, some of the exit polling coming out of various states show the small potential for a Kamala landslide taking shape.

They will contest the election whether it's a tie or a Reagan style landslide. The culture war demands it...and so does the grift.


I want the GOP to torch the MAGA grift machine to the ground post election and rebuild from the ground up.

Yeah, Biden dropping out was the worst thing that happened to Trump.  If they lose, it’ll mostly be a referendum on how shitty Trump is as a candidate and their message.  A lot of this has absolutely nothing to do with Harris, Democrats or even progressive issues . My personal opinion as a whole the probably moderate or slightly leans right when it comes to social issues.

They also need to find better people to deliver the message. I mean Vance and the
Haitians eating cats bullshit , how does that even pass the smell test?

They also have a problem attracting women voters at this point.  Part of this is Trump.  Part of this is the message that comes out( Again some of the Vance stuff didn’t help at all) and a part of this is the abortion issue.  Whatever your feelings on it, it seems that the GOP is in opposition to what the general consensus is.  I mean these initiatives either keep on passing (or fail) in these states (red or blue).

Yeah, they need to do a reckoning and just figure out a strategy that appeals to all regardless of gender or race.  Alienating almost every non -white voting block isn’t a winning strategy.  For whatever one thought of W, he did try to broaden the voter base and be inclusive .  They seemed to have gone back to the stone ages with Trump.

Also not noted here but if he loses on the GOTV on Tuesday (basically the non early vote), he’s only got himself to blame.  He installed some neophyte to run it while dismantling the state infrastructure that had been set up.

mitchejw
 Rep: 131 

Re: Current Events...

mitchejw wrote:
James wrote:

Valid points above but I agree with slashsfro....

Kamala wins.

Trump had it in the bag months ago but just an avalanche of shit since.

Choosing Vance prevented me from holding my nose and voting for him.

Peter Thiel's fuck toy does not belong within a light year of the presidency...much less an 80 year old heartbeat.


Polling isn't anywhere near as reliable as it was back in the day. Having said that, some of the exit polling coming out of various states show the small potential for a Kamala landslide taking shape.

They will contest the election whether it's a tie or a Reagan style landslide. The culture war demands it...and so does the grift.


I want the GOP to torch the MAGA grift machine to the ground post election and rebuild from the ground up.

I hear what you’re saying who knows what happens in a few days. But to me, I have aftertaste of 2016. I thought Kamala was terrible as a vice president and could never have predicted. She would’ve been the 2024 nominee.

Kamala’s ceiling is at best Hillary. that’s just my gut.

misterID
 Rep: 475 

Re: Current Events...

misterID wrote:

If Trump takes PA, it’s over.

I still think Trump wins, and Mitch is right, Kamala is fucking awful, just like she always has been. And they’re going to dump her loss all on Biden.

mitchejw
 Rep: 131 

Re: Current Events...

mitchejw wrote:

Kamala is the perfect DEI candidate…woman? Check…minority? Check…leads with abortion rights? Check…

I just finally had to ask…wtf are you offering me?!

James
 Rep: 664 

Re: Current Events...

James wrote:

Looks like voter turnout is insanely high in some of these key states.

As I'm sure you guys know, high voter turnout usually means the election is leaning blue...at least in the 21st century anyways.


I saw someone from Charlotte on Reddit say they spotted this sign after voting...


“No MAGA, No Trump, give us our Republican Party back”

Fuckin' A.


The 80s had the Reagan Democrats.... we're on the verge of seeing if the Kamala Republicans swing the election in the battleground states.

It's insane how many people in Trump's administration have endorsed her.


This election is basically a repeat of 2020 without the pandemic.

Here are your choices....

1. Trump
2. Not Trump

It's pathetic we've reached the point where Kamala of all people will likely ascend to the presidency.

Just one more reason Trump should've moved on after 2020.

The country is going to keep doing this until the GOP decide to flush MAGA once and for all.

No matter who wins, the Dems need to make changes as well. A LOT of people are sick of this woke nonsense and they are damn lucky Republicans keep pushing all these loonies and grifters.

We can't have an election that shows the public wants it flushed once and for all because it always takes a backseat to the MAGA shit.

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